Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -125 RICH +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +28 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -3.3 (+31.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -1.9 (+29.9) | 137.2 (+4.8) | 43% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -1.7 (+29.7) | 135.6 (+6.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -3.1 (+31.1) | 136.7 (+5.3) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -2.4 (+30.4) | 137.5 (+4.5) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#127) | 5.4 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#132) | -0.25 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#126) | 0.38 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#125) | 0.508 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 44.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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