Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -188 BEL +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +4 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -11.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -8.5 (-12.5) | 154.4 (+7.6) | 79% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -8.3 (-12.3) | 153.8 (+8.2) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -9.7 (-13.7) | 155.9 (+6.1) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -9.3 (-13.3) | 157.1 (+4.9) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2021 | BEL 76 – 68 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#103) | -2.3 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#91) | -0.10 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#101) | -0.61 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#75) | 0.477 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 40.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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