Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -167 TENN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -0.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -1.6 (+3.4) | 147.6 (-2.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -1.2 (+3.8) | 146.4 (-1.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -2.9 (+2.1) | 145.2 (-0.2) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -4.2 (+0.8) | 148.5 (-3.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2021 | TENN 77 – 73 ARIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 57.9 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#5) | 21.1 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#17) | 3.37 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#24) | 4.31 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#25) | 0.648 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.7% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 42.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 15.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.6% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 40.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 31.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 36.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 27.4% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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