Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -2.9 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -2.4 (+1.6) | 155.4 (-5.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -2.1 (+1.9) | 151.6 (-1.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -0.6 (+3.4) | 151.6 (-1.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -1.7 (+2.3) | 152.5 (-2.5) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | ARIZ 75 – 70 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 33-4 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 18-2 |
| Home | 16-0 | 17-0 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 84.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 17.9 (#9) | 25.2 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#43) | 4.25 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#37) | 5.81 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#57) | 0.675 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 44.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.80 | 1.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 12.0% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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