Betting Lines
| Spread | BUCK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK -400 MRMK +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUCK +6 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | BUCK -16.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUCK -9.9 (-3.9) | 128.3 (-12.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUCK -13.3 (-7.3) | 133.5 (-17.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUCK -13.5 (-7.5) | 132.2 (-16.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUCK -13.6 (-7.6) | 129.9 (-13.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | MRMK 68 – 52 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-4 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 61.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 64.0 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#191) | -12.8 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#247) | -3.39 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#239) | -4.65 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#263) | 0.406 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 35.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 24.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 23.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 5.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 15.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 59.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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