Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -250 BUCK +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +16 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -10.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -7.1 (+8.9) | 129.3 (-9.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -7.2 (+8.8) | 130.5 (-10.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -7.6 (+8.4) | 129.5 (-9.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -7.0 (+9.0) | 128.9 (-8.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | BUCK 61 – 55 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.6 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#173) | -5.6 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#197) | -0.78 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#173) | -0.78 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#165) | 0.475 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 62.7% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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