Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -333 LR +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +10 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -9.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -9.5 (+0.5) | 146.7 (-12.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -7.8 (+2.2) | 151.9 (-17.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -7.7 (+2.3) | 150.4 (-16.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -7.8 (+2.2) | 150.0 (-16.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | JXST 90 – 60 LR |
| Dec 21, 2021 | JXST 87 – 67 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 80.9 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#260) | -9.6 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#235) | -2.57 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#249) | -4.33 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#183) | 0.368 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.8% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 59.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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