Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
| Money | LR -150 JXST +126 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +30 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -3.3 (-33.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -0.7 (-30.7) | 137.2 (+12.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -2.2 (-32.2) | 138.1 (+11.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LR -1.8 (-31.8) | 138.9 (+11.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -1.9 (-31.9) | 139.6 (+10.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | JXST 72 – 62 LR |
| Dec 21, 2021 | JXST 87 – 67 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 6-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#216) | -1.3 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#255) | -0.86 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#248) | -0.56 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#281) | 0.447 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.3% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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