Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | LR +280 JXST -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +20 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -7.6 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -7.5 (-12.5) | 138.8 (+15.2) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -6.7 (-13.3) | 141.1 (+12.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -6.9 (-13.1) | 141.5 (+12.5) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -7.1 (-12.9) | 140.3 (+13.7) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | JXST 90 – 60 LR |
| Dec 17, 2022 | JXST 72 – 62 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#329) | 1.5 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#281) | -0.49 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#290) | -0.60 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#257) | 0.482 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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