Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV -250 SF +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +2 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -11.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -10.9 (-12.9) | 142.7 (+5.3) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -8.1 (-10.1) | 144.4 (+3.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -10.1 (-12.1) | 143.7 (+4.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -10.3 (-12.3) | 142.2 (+5.8) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2021 | SF 83 – 62 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#53) | 2.8 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#10) | 1.34 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.14 (#10) | 1.88 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#7) | 0.535 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 30.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 79.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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