Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -12.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +21 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SF -19.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -14.3 (+6.7) | 137.0 (+8.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -14.4 (+6.6) | 137.2 (+7.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -14.9 (+6.1) | 137.7 (+7.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -16.0 (+5.0) | 136.1 (+8.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | SF 75 – 73 UNLV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#53) | -4.8 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.63 (#8) | -0.11 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.79 (#12) | -0.11 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.660 (#15) | 0.527 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.9% | 43.8% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 80.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.