Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | ULM -500 LAM +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +24 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | ULM -4.3 (+19.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -3.6 (+20.4) | 137.6 (+4.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -3.6 (+20.4) | 139.3 (+2.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -3.4 (+20.6) | 139.2 (+2.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -2.8 (+21.2) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | LAM 79 – 66 ULM |
| Dec 15, 2023 | LAM 97 – 73 ULM |
| Dec 21, 2021 | ULM 80 – 77 LAM |
| Dec 10, 2020 | LAM 63 – 60 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L8 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -14.1 (#354) | -13.3 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#351) | -2.69 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.01 (#345) | -4.28 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#331) | 0.360 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 25.2% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 14.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.