Betting Lines
| Spread | LAM -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ULM +500 LAM -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +13 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | ULM -0.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -0.1 (-12.9) | 143.1 (+1.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -1.3 (-14.3) | 143.2 (+1.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -1.4 (-11.6) | 141.3 (+3.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2023 | LAM 97 – 73 ULM |
| Dec 17, 2022 | ULM 83 – 59 LAM |
| Dec 21, 2021 | ULM 80 – 77 LAM |
| Dec 10, 2020 | LAM 63 – 60 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 7-15 |
| Home | 3-10 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#307) | -1.3 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#311) | -1.33 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#327) | -2.03 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.266 (#355) | 0.292 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 27.7 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 17.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 58.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.