Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LAM +205 ULM -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | ULM -1.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -1.8 (-1.2) | 145.5 (+11.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -1.2 (-1.8) | 142.5 (+14.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -2.1 (-0.9) | 145.0 (+12.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -3.3 (+0.3) | 145.6 (+11.4) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | LAM 79 – 66 ULM |
| Dec 15, 2023 | LAM 97 – 73 ULM |
| Dec 17, 2022 | ULM 83 – 59 LAM |
| Dec 10, 2020 | LAM 63 – 60 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-27 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 5-13 |
| Home | 2-11 | 7-7 |
| Away | 0-18 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L27 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#319) | -3.3 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.53 (#351) | 0.88 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.28 (#344) | 1.14 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.339 (#348) | 0.583 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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