Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | ULM -150 LAM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +3 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | ULM -15.8 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -10.9 (-13.9) | 144.0 (-21.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -10.0 (-13.0) | 141.7 (-18.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -10.8 (-13.8) | 141.5 (-18.5) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -11.3 (-14.3) | 141.6 (-18.6) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | LAM 79 – 66 ULM |
| Dec 15, 2023 | LAM 97 – 73 ULM |
| Dec 17, 2022 | ULM 83 – 59 LAM |
| Dec 21, 2021 | ULM 80 – 77 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-4 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#166) | -9.8 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#161) | -2.32 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#189) | -3.29 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#190) | 0.423 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 36.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 20.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 38.7% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 24.2% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 62.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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