Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | LAM -105 ULM -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +24 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | LAM -7.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAM -4.0 (+20.0) | 141.3 (+28.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAM -3.7 (+20.3) | 141.6 (+28.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAM -4.1 (+19.9) | 143.3 (+26.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAM -4.5 (+19.5) | 144.1 (+25.9) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | LAM 79 – 66 ULM |
| Dec 17, 2022 | ULM 83 – 59 LAM |
| Dec 21, 2021 | ULM 80 – 77 LAM |
| Dec 10, 2020 | LAM 63 – 60 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAM | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#237) | -5.7 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.81 (#261) | -0.15 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#255) | 0.21 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#233) | 0.479 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAM | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.4% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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