Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -1600 DSU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +33 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -15.7 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -14.2 (+18.8) | 132.4 (+4.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -14.6 (+18.4) | 131.8 (+5.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -12.3 (+20.7) | 134.5 (+2.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -13.6 (+19.4) | 134.5 (+2.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#199) | -12.0 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#237) | -3.51 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#211) | -4.86 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#214) | 0.377 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 14.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.