Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | KU -250 IU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +22 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | KU -5.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -6.7 (+15.3) | 142.7 (+3.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -6.4 (+15.6) | 144.3 (+1.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -6.3 (+15.7) | 143.7 (+2.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -7.3 (+14.7) | 146.2 (-0.2) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | KU 75 – 71 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#9) | 15.2 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.81 (#8) | 2.02 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.62 (#8) | 2.46 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#5) | 0.570 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 51.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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