Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | IU +225 KU -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +4 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -5.9 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -2.3 (-1.7) | 145.2 (+0.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.0 (-1.0) | 144.3 (+1.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -2.6 (-1.4) | 144.7 (+1.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -1.7 (-2.3) | 144.9 (+1.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2022 | KU 84 – 62 IU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#137) | 12.7 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#34) | 3.27 (#13) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#40) | 4.65 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#65) | 0.656 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 51.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 40.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 58.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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