Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | MONM +450 CLT -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +34 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -14.1 (-19.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -14.8 (-19.2) | 131.4 (-5.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -11.5 (-22.5) | 128.9 (-2.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -10.3 (-23.7) | 134.5 (-8.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -12.8 (-21.2) | 134.3 (-8.3) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | CLT 68 – 66 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 3-10 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-15 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.7 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 62.6 |
| Massey | -14.1 (#355) | 5.1 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#304) | 1.88 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#303) | 2.07 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#291) | 0.578 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 24.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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