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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–3 on winners
spread MAE 8.7
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lehigh
@
Wisconsin
|
+20.1 | 140.0 | 90% | 56–78 | ✓ |
Stony Brook
@
Wagner
|
+11.6 | 132.6 | 86% | 55–58 | ✓ |
Chattanooga
@
Middle Tennessee
|
+6.5 | 144.7 | 73% | 82–73 | ✗ |
Louisiana
@
McNeese
|
-8.7 | 143.7 | 22% | 78–70 | ✓ |
SE Louisiana
@
Nicholls
|
+0.7 | 151.5 | 55% | 73–88 | ✓ |
North Alabama
@
Colorado
|
+19.8 | 151.2 | 89% | 60–84 | ✓ |
UC Irvine
@
Santa Clara
|
-0.1 | 144.3 | 58% | 74–86 | ✗ |
Seattle U
@
Oregon State
|
-2.7 | 138.2 | 40% | 58–73 | ✗ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Incarnate Word
|
+3.7 | 136.2 | 65% | 65–77 | ✓ |
Xavier
@
Georgetown
|
-9.6 | 160.9 | 21% | 102–89 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.