Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–7 on winners spread MAE 8.6 31 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Stephen F. Austin @ Louisiana Tech +5.4 151.7 71% 80–79 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Northern Kentucky +4.4 140.6 69% 61–64 ✓
Wright State @ Akron +8.6 143.3 78% 54–66 ✓
Stetson @ Charleston +13.4 151.9 84% 60–65 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Cincinnati +16.8 153.1 88% 76–103 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ South Dakota +2.0 136.6 52% 87–86 ✗
Morehead State @ Georgia Southern +7.0 134.3 74% 74–71 ✗
Radford @ VCU +3.4 136.8 64% 62–70 ✓
Long Island University @ UAlbany +10.4 147.0 86% 59–76 ✓
Queens University @ East Tennessee State -4.1 139.4 36% 78–75 ✓
DePaul @ Duquesne +3.7 153.6 71% 55–66 ✓
Drexel @ Seton Hall +10.9 131.4 82% 49–66 ✓
South Carolina @ UAB +18.7 146.4 90% 70–84 ✓
Ohio @ Florida +7.6 146.5 67% 48–82 ✓
App State @ Wake Forest +12.2 146.6 84% 66–67 ✓
Mississippi State @ Jackson State -20.6 130.3 11% 69–59 ✓
Sam Houston @ UL Monroe -15.2 131.5 13% 79–53 ✓
UCF @ Ole Miss +6.7 133.4 72% 72–61 ✗
Georgia State @ Auburn +19.7 132.0 89% 64–72 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Tennessee State +6.2 146.4 68% 91–87 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Arkansas State +1.2 133.8 56% 61–68 ✓
Bowling Green @ Norfolk State +6.0 144.5 70% 75–81 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Lipscomb +9.5 149.1 82% 63–64 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Minnesota +6.6 137.8 71% 56–72 ✓
UCLA @ Maryland +3.9 140.0 65% 87–60 ✗
UC Riverside @ Oregon +10.3 136.3 81% 65–71 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Louisville -9.2 134.0 22% 83–94 ✗
New Mexico State @ Saint Mary's +11.0 135.9 81% 68–81 ✓
UC San Diego @ Nevada +18.5 136.5 89% 56–64 ✓
Long Beach State @ USC +6.9 142.1 73% 78–88 ✓
Elon @ Presbyterian +6.9 132.7 67% 63–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.