Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
James A. Rhodes Arena · December 15, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread AKR -6.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money AKR -250 / WRST +260
Model Predictions
Spread Total AKR win
Actual AKR +12 120 Won
Massey AKR -9.5 (+2.5) — —
Massey Totals — 145.9 (-25.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML AKR -8.3 (+3.7) 144.1 (-24.1) 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ AKR -9.2 (+2.8) 144.7 (-24.7) 80% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML AKR -7.5 (+4.5) 142.6 (-22.6) 76% ✓
Baseline ML AKR -8.6 (+3.4) 143.3 (-23.3) 78% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 16, 2021 AKR 66 – 48 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings AKR WRST
Overall 22-11 18-15
Conference 13-5 10-10
Home 15-1 9-6
Away 5-6 7-8
Neutral 2-4 2-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 78.3
Avg Pts Against 68.3 74.7
Massey 0.5 (#169) -3.8 (#241)
Bradley-Terry 1.04 (#98) -1.21 (#284)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.37 (#102) -1.54 (#278)
RPI 0.545 (#104) 0.426 (#288)
Shooting & Four Factors AKR WRST
FG% 40.2% 48.2%
3PT% 30.7% 32.2%
REB / G 35.5 34.3
OREB / G 11.2 7.8
AST / TO 1.10 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.1% 52.5%
TOV% 17.1% 17.7%
ORB% 31.0% 22.6%
FT Rate 22.2% 13.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.1% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 19.3%
DRB% 72.1% 78.9%
Opp FT Rate 15.9% 18.3%

Game Analysis

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