Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +18 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | AKR -0.1 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -0.1 (-17.9) | 144.1 (-30.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -0.5 (-18.5) | 143.5 (-29.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -0.8 (-17.2) | 144.4 (-30.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -0.3 (-17.7) | 146.3 (-32.3) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | AKR 66 – 54 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 15-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#286) | -1.6 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#300) | -0.40 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#293) | -0.79 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#286) | 0.473 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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