Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ETSU -120 QUC +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -3.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -2.7 (-0.3) | 138.6 (+14.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -4.1 (+1.1) | 139.4 (+13.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -3.5 (+0.5) | 138.8 (+14.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -4.4 (+1.4) | 135.9 (+17.1) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2024 | ETSU 82 – 67 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#285) | 2.3 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.89 (#346) | 1.40 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.94 (#344) | 1.05 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.330 (#360) | 0.587 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.