Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -154 DEP +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +11 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -5.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-34.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -2.1 (+8.9) | 150.4 (-29.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -3.8 (+7.2) | 153.1 (-32.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -3.7 (+7.3) | 153.6 (-32.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -4.3 (+6.7) | 151.9 (-30.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | DEP 84 – 58 DUQ |
| Dec 8, 2021 | DEP 87 – 67 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 16-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 77.3 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#157) | 1.0 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#145) | 0.66 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#157) | 0.76 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#153) | 0.558 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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