Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +20 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -17.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -17.0 (+3.0) | 152.9 (+1.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -16.7 (+3.3) | 152.0 (+2.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -14.4 (+5.6) | 150.8 (+3.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -13.5 (+6.5) | 152.1 (+1.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | DEP 84 – 58 DUQ |
| Dec 15, 2022 | DUQ 66 – 55 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 1-16 |
| Home | 11-7 | 3-11 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#60) | -5.1 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#105) | -1.63 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#96) | -2.03 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#132) | 0.418 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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