Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DEP -250 DUQ +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +26 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -22.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -20.0 (+6.0) | 149.1 (-7.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -23.9 (+2.1) | 145.9 (-3.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -19.9 (+6.1) | 145.4 (-3.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | DUQ 66 – 55 DEP |
| Dec 8, 2021 | DEP 87 – 67 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-8 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 6.9 (#59) | -6.9 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#108) | -3.21 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#117) | -4.39 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#203) | 0.391 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 87.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
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