Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | HALL -1400 DREX +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +17 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -12.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -9.6 (+7.4) | 130.3 (-15.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -11.6 (+5.4) | 128.4 (-13.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -10.0 (+7.0) | 132.1 (-17.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -10.9 (+6.1) | 131.4 (-16.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 63.0 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#74) | -0.9 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#122) | -0.54 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#159) | -0.36 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#96) | 0.480 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 34.6% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 13.7% |
Game Analysis
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