Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -900 STET +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +5 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -12.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-34.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -11.3 (-6.3) | 148.4 (-23.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -12.6 (-7.6) | 146.2 (-21.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -12.9 (-7.9) | 152.9 (-27.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -13.4 (-8.4) | 151.9 (-26.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 17, 2021 | STET 67 – 59 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 12-6 |
| Home | 17-1 | 9-3 |
| Away | 11-2 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 7.2 (#66) | -0.2 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#16) | 0.30 (#153) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.29 (#26) | 0.47 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.678 (#4) | 0.491 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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