Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +8 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -3.8 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -3.4 (+11.4) | 144.7 (-18.7) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -3.2 (+11.2) | 144.6 (-18.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -3.3 (+11.3) | 144.9 (-18.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -3.8 (+11.8) | 145.6 (-19.6) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | COFC 65 – 60 STET |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#290) | 1.7 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.04 (#314) | 1.36 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#318) | 1.28 (#105) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#331) | 0.575 (#64) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 42.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.5% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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