Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | JKST +1400 MSST -2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | MSST -22.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -17.3 (+7.3) | 130.6 (-2.6) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -19.0 (+9.0) | 128.8 (-0.8) | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -20.4 (+10.4) | 129.6 (-1.6) | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -20.6 (+10.6) | 130.3 (-2.3) | 11% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2020 | MSST 82 – 59 JKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-14 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 61.0 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#310) | 14.6 (#12) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#319) | 3.91 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.01 (#346) | 5.27 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#335) | 0.616 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 42.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 15.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 39.8% |
| FT Rate | 13.3% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.9% | 39.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 14.2% |
Game Analysis
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