Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NKU -250 EKU +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -5.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -5.0 (-2.0) | 137.4 (-12.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -4.3 (-1.3) | 139.6 (-14.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -4.4 (-1.4) | 140.6 (-15.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -5.1 (-2.1) | 139.0 (-14.0) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | NKU 82 – 71 EKU |
| Dec 17, 2023 | NKU 85 – 75 EKU |
| Dec 19, 2021 | EKU 81 – 68 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#268) | -5.8 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#262) | -0.40 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#244) | -1.62 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#285) | 0.500 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 64.6% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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