Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -9.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -7.6 (+5.4) | 144.8 (+4.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -5.9 (+7.1) | 146.8 (+2.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -6.1 (+6.9) | 147.6 (+1.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -6.3 (+6.7) | 145.9 (+3.1) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | NKU 82 – 71 EKU |
| Dec 17, 2023 | NKU 85 – 75 EKU |
| Dec 15, 2022 | NKU 64 – 61 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#176) | -4.8 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#303) | -1.15 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#296) | -2.15 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#273) | 0.440 (#271) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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