Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | EKU -178 NKU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +10 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -0.4 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -0.8 (-10.8) | 140.6 (+19.4) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -1.3 (-8.7) | 138.9 (+21.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.5 (-9.5) | 139.1 (+20.9) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -0.5 (-9.5) | 140.8 (+19.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2025 | NKU 82 – 71 EKU |
| Dec 15, 2022 | NKU 64 – 61 EKU |
| Dec 19, 2021 | EKU 81 – 68 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#285) | -1.0 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#326) | -0.98 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#328) | -1.06 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#348) | 0.439 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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