Betting Lines
| Spread | PRES -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | PRES -250 ELON +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRES +6 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | PRES -7.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRES -4.5 (+1.5) | 131.8 (+0.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRES -6.0 (+0.0) | 132.7 (-0.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRES -6.9 (-0.9) | 132.7 (-0.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRES -5.8 (+0.2) | 131.2 (+0.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2023 | ELON 82 – 79 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRES | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-9 | 5-9 |
| Away | 0-15 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L18 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#326) | -12.0 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#334) | -4.26 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#318) | -5.99 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#331) | 0.335 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRES | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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