Betting Lines
| Spread | ELON -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | ELON -163 PRES +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | ELON -3.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ELON -2.9 (+0.1) | 150.6 (+10.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ELON -3.3 (-0.3) | 150.9 (+10.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ELON -3.5 (-0.5) | 150.9 (+10.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ELON -3.4 (-0.4) | 151.9 (+9.1) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | PRES 69 – 63 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#282) | -3.4 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#226) | -0.16 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#241) | -0.69 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#204) | 0.439 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 41.5% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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