Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -600 RAD +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -3.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -7.4 (+0.6) | 134.7 (-2.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.1 (+3.9) | 136.9 (-4.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -3.4 (+4.6) | 136.8 (-4.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -3.9 (+4.1) | 137.6 (-5.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2023 | VCU 73 – 50 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-3 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#187) | 1.5 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#132) | -0.66 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#137) | -0.98 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#158) | 0.464 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 37.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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