Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WAKE -1000 APP +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -13.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -11.3 (-10.3) | 143.7 (-10.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -12.1 (-11.1) | 146.3 (-13.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -12.2 (-11.2) | 146.6 (-13.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -12.1 (-11.1) | 146.8 (-13.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 21, 2024 | WAKE 87 – 76 APP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#97) | -3.6 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#75) | -1.15 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#81) | -1.54 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#60) | 0.416 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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