Betting Lines
| Spread | WAKE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | WAKE -350 APP +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAKE +11 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | WAKE -8.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+15.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAKE -8.3 (+2.7) | 147.9 (+15.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAKE -7.7 (+3.3) | 146.9 (+16.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAKE -8.1 (+2.9) | 147.8 (+15.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAKE -8.2 (+2.8) | 149.3 (+13.7) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | WAKE 67 – 66 APP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAKE | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 16-2 |
| Home | 17-2 | 15-0 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 12.6 (#32) | 7.0 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#62) | 1.42 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#51) | 1.57 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#88) | 0.580 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAKE | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 13.7% |
Game Analysis
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