Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -2500 UAPB +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +16 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -8.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -11.5 (+4.5) | 137.0 (-9.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -6.0 (+10.0) | 138.6 (-10.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -6.6 (+9.4) | 137.8 (-9.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -7.4 (+8.6) | 137.0 (-9.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 22, 2023 | MINN 86 – 67 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-11 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#251) | -7.6 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#228) | -1.95 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#268) | -2.83 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#133) | 0.467 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | UAPB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 36.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 34.2% |
Game Analysis
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