Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | LOU +260 WKU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LOU +11 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -10.2 (+21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (+50.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -10.3 (+21.3) | 132.6 (+44.4) | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -9.0 (+20.0) | 134.7 (+42.3) | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -8.6 (+19.6) | 132.7 (+44.3) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -9.2 (+20.2) | 134.0 (+43.0) | 22% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2021 | WKU 82 – 72 LOU |
| Dec 1, 2020 | LOU 75 – 54 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LOU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 8-12 |
| Home | 4-13 | 9-5 |
| Away | 0-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -14.5 (#355) | 0.9 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.07 (#359) | 1.63 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.63 (#355) | 1.29 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#324) | 0.563 (#79) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LOU | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.47 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 14.6% |
Game Analysis
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