Betting Lines
| Spread | LOU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | LOU -0.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -2.1 (+7.9) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LOU -0.3 (+10.3) | 142.0 (+12.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -2.8 (+7.2) | 138.2 (+15.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -2.6 (+7.4) | 139.1 (+14.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | LOU 94 – 83 WKU |
| Dec 1, 2020 | LOU 75 – 54 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#130) | 7.2 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#181) | 1.55 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#149) | 2.17 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#184) | 0.588 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 42.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.