And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Fant-Ewing Coliseum · December 15, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -11.5 Away covered
O/U 130.5 Over
Money ULM +550 / SHSU -700
Model Predictions
Spread Total ULM win
Actual SHSU +26 132 Lost
Massey SHSU -21.0 (-5.0) — —
Massey Totals — 125.9 (+6.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 1% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 0% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHSU -12.1 (-13.9) 128.0 (+4.0) 14% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -11.4 (-14.6) 130.8 (+1.2) 16% ✓
Baseline ML SHSU -15.2 (-10.8) 131.5 (+0.5) 13% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -12.6 (-13.4) 130.5 (+1.5) 13% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 13, 2023 SHSU 63 – 62 ULM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ULM SHSU
Overall 11-21 26-8
Conference 7-11 14-4
Home 7-8 12-1
Away 4-10 10-6
Neutral 0-3 4-1
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L8 L1
Avg Pts For 63.4 67.7
Avg Pts Against 71.5 61.7
Massey -13.3 (#351) 12.9 (#27)
Bradley-Terry -3.15 (#349) 2.43 (#25)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.91 (#342) 2.79 (#38)
RPI 0.384 (#336) 0.627 (#22)
Shooting & Four Factors ULM SHSU
FG% 36.8% 41.7%
3PT% 29.8% 37.2%
REB / G 33.1 35.0
OREB / G 11.3 11.2
AST / TO 0.74 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 42.1% 48.1%
TOV% 22.3% 19.3%
ORB% 29.9% 31.5%
FT Rate 22.9% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.9% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 19.6% 26.4%
DRB% 65.1% 74.1%
Opp FT Rate 22.2% 25.6%

Game Analysis

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