Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -455 ULM +345 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +1 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -11.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-17.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -10.1 (-9.1) | 138.2 (-13.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -8.2 (-7.2) | 139.1 (-14.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -9.1 (-8.1) | 141.4 (-16.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -8.3 (-7.3) | 139.0 (-14.0) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2022 | SHSU 79 – 53 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#171) | -6.9 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#206) | 0.27 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#200) | 0.40 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#180) | 0.501 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 24.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 15.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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