Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +100 SEA +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -4.1 (+19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -2.6 (+17.6) | 138.4 (-7.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SEA -4.9 (+19.9) | 138.1 (-7.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | SEA -2.3 (+17.3) | 138.1 (-7.1) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -2.7 (+17.7) | 138.2 (-7.2) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | SEA 60 – 50 ORST |
| Jan 9, 2026 | ORST 68 – 55 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#236) | 5.9 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#252) | 1.95 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#281) | 2.56 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#263) | 0.584 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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