Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -290 ORST +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +10 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -6.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -4.7 (+5.3) | 136.1 (-26.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SEA -4.1 (+5.9) | 137.3 (-27.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SEA -4.7 (+5.3) | 132.9 (-22.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -4.6 (+5.4) | 133.8 (-23.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | ORST 68 – 55 SEA |
| Dec 16, 2022 | ORST 73 – 58 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#126) | -0.9 (#180) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#130) | 0.31 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#117) | 0.32 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#168) | 0.518 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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