Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | ORST +180 SEA -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +13 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SEA -5.0 (+18.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -3.0 (+16.0) | 141.4 (-18.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -3.8 (+16.8) | 139.6 (-16.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -4.8 (+17.8) | 140.5 (-17.5) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -5.8 (+18.8) | 141.6 (-18.6) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | SEA 60 – 50 ORST |
| Dec 16, 2022 | ORST 73 – 58 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#233) | 4.5 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#188) | 1.02 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#186) | 1.50 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#231) | 0.535 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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