Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -110 UCI +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +12 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -2.7 (+14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -0.5 (+11.5) | 146.0 (+14.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -0.6 (+11.4) | 145.2 (+14.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -0.6 (+11.4) | 144.2 (+15.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -0.1 (+12.1) | 144.3 (+15.7) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2021 | UCI 69 – 64 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 15-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-3 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#135) | 9.6 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#69) | 1.15 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#79) | 1.72 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#40) | 0.539 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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