Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +5 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -9.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -8.9 (-13.9) | 140.4 (-7.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -4.7 (-9.7) | 137.2 (-4.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -7.9 (-12.9) | 140.0 (-7.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -9.8 (-14.8) | 139.3 (-6.3) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2022 | SCU 86 – 74 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 9-1 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 61.4 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#41) | 5.8 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#40) | 0.86 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#32) | 1.35 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#15) | 0.601 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.3% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.9% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.8% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 38.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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